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China’s EV Exports Surge as Domestic Market Cools and North America Stalls

Fresh figures show an 87% jump in November shipments and nearly 2 million exports this year, highlighting China’s outward push as U.S. and Canadian sales sink after federal rollbacks.

Overview

  • Chinese customs data show EV exports up 87% year over year in November, nearing 200,000 units for the month and just under 2 million through the first 11 months of 2025.
  • Mexico and Europe logged some of the fastest growth for China-built EVs, with Mexico up 2,367% in November and Europe taking more than 600,000 units this year despite new EU tariffs.
  • At home, China’s market is cooling into a sustained price war and consolidation phase, with BYD and Tesla posting year-to-date declines and the top 10 makers now accounting for about 95% of new-energy vehicle sales.
  • U.S. EV sales plunged after the $7,500 federal credit ended and rules were rolled back, with Cox Automotive reporting Q4 volumes down 46% from Q3 and market share slipping to 5.7% for the quarter.
  • Canada’s zero‑emission vehicle registrations fell 32% year over year through Q3, even as analysts expect more affordable models to arrive in 2026–27 and global EVs reach roughly a quarter of 2025 new-car sales.