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China's Economic Recovery Slower Than Expected in 2023

Long-term challenges persist as analysts predict slowdown in 2024.

  • China's economy, the world's second largest, did not experience the robust recovery hoped for in 2023 after emerging from COVID-19 lockdowns.
  • The country faces long-term challenges including a falling birthrate, an aging population, and rivalry with the U.S. over technology, Taiwan, and control of the high seas.
  • Despite a short-lived economic rebound, China's economy is slowing as property developers default on debts amid a crackdown on excessive borrowing.
  • Relations with the U.S. improved in the fall of 2023, but fundamental differences over technology and territorial disputes remain.
  • Analysts predict that the Chinese government will achieve its 5% growth target for 2023, but expect a slowdown in 2024.
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