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China's Economic Growth Targets in Jeopardy Amid Slowing Industrial Output

New data shows weakening industrial production and consumer demand, raising concerns about deflation and missed GDP goals.

  • China's industrial production growth slowed to 4.5% in August, down from 5.1% in July, marking the slowest pace since March.
  • Retail sales growth decelerated to 2.1% year-over-year in August, compared to 2.7% in July, reflecting weak consumer demand.
  • Goldman Sachs and Citigroup have lowered their 2024 GDP growth forecasts for China to 4.7%, below the government's target of around 5%.
  • Economists warn that without stronger stimulus measures, China risks slipping into a deflationary trap and prolonged economic slowdown.
  • China's property sector continues to struggle with high vacancy rates and declining sales, further dragging down overall economic performance.
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