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China’s CPI Holds Steady in July as Factory Deflation Persists

Policy measures have spurred a modest month-on-month rebound in core inflation despite persistent oversupply.

Overview

  • Headline consumer prices were unchanged year-on-year in July, marking flat CPI for the first time since early 2024.
  • The producer price index dropped 3.6% year-on-year, extending factory-gate deflation into its 34th consecutive month.
  • Core CPI, which strips out volatile food and energy costs, rose 0.8% year-on-year—the strongest gain since March 2024.
  • On a monthly basis, overall CPI climbed 0.4% in July, reversing June’s 0.1% decline as service and industrial goods prices edged higher.
  • Authorities have launched an anti-price war campaign to curb excessive competition, but weak demand and oversupply continue to weigh on price growth.