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China's Consumer Prices Stay Negative in March as Deflation Persists

Producer prices mark 29th consecutive month of decline, prompting policymakers to double subsidies for consumer trade-in programs to boost demand.

Shoppers browse a Walmart Supercenter a day after U.S. President Donald Trump announced new tariffs, in Secaucus, New Jersey, U.S. April 3, 2025. REUTERS/Siddharth Cavale/File photo
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Overview

  • China's consumer price index fell 0.1% year-on-year in March 2025, following a larger 0.7% drop in February, indicating continued deflationary pressures.
  • Producer prices declined by 2.5% in March, the steepest drop since November 2024, marking the 29th straight month of contraction in producer prices.
  • The Chinese government has doubled subsidies for a consumer trade-in program to 300 billion yuan ($41.47 billion), expanding support to include mid-range smartphones and home appliances.
  • Policymakers have made boosting domestic consumption a top priority, as highlighted in the Government Work Report, which referenced consumption more than any time in the past decade.
  • Heightened trade tensions between China and the U.S. add external challenges to China's economic recovery, increasing the urgency of domestic stimulus measures.