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China’s CO2 Emissions Hold Steady for 18 Months as Clean Energy Gains Balance Industrial Growth

Analysts say fourth‑quarter industrial and energy activity will determine whether 2025 posts a slight rise or a small drop.

Overview

  • Carbon Brief reports 18 consecutive months of stable or falling CO2 output, with third‑quarter totals flat year on year.
  • Solar generation jumped about 46% and wind 11%, keeping power‑sector emissions in check despite strong electricity demand.
  • Transport fuel CO2 fell roughly 5% as electric‑vehicle uptake expanded across the market.
  • An expanding chemicals industry limited deeper cuts, with plastics output up about 12% and oil use up around 10%.
  • With three quarters complete, analysts say 2025 could finish slightly up or down, and Beijing’s new 2035 target calls for a 7–10% economy‑wide cut.