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China’s 2025 Trade Surplus Hits $1.189 Trillion Record as December Beats Forecasts

Beijing is signaling a modest rebalancing to ease trade tensions.

Overview

  • December exports rose 6.6% year over year and imports increased 5.7%, delivering a $114.1 billion monthly surplus and topping expectations.
  • For 2025 as a whole, dollar-denominated exports grew 5.5% while imports were flat, resulting in the record $1.189 trillion surplus confirmed by customs data.
  • Monthly surpluses exceeded $100 billion seven times in 2025, a run supported in part by a weaker yuan.
  • Exporters increasingly redirected shipments to Southeast Asia, Africa and Latin America in response to renewed U.S. tariffs under President Donald Trump.
  • Authorities moved to reduce friction by scrapping solar export tax rebates and accelerating revisions to the Foreign Trade Law, alongside public calls to expand imports.