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China Tests JL-2 Submarine Missile

This challenge to regional notification norms signals an advance in China’s sea-based nuclear deterrent.

Overview

  • Taiwan and independent monitors identified the weapon as a JL-2 submarine-launched ballistic missile that was fired from a Chinese nuclear submarine and appeared to splash down near the Solomon Islands.
  • U.S. officials condemned the launch and said China gave only a few hours’ notice before the test, departing from the common 48-hour advance-warning practice and raising safety and crisis-management concerns.
  • Experts at RAND and other institutes say the test demonstrates Beijing’s effort to consolidate a credible nuclear triad by adding a more survivable sea-based strike option.
  • The launch took place during the Joint Sea 2026 naval exercises and prompted regional alarm that is likely to increase calls for closer security coordination and renewed arms-control talks.
  • The test follows a pattern of recent long-range launches and a 2024 Pentagon assessment that China operates multiple nuclear-powered ballistic missile submarines, indicating steady progress in Beijing’s nuclear modernization.