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China Signals Major Economic Policy Shift for 2025

Beijing pivots to 'moderately loose' monetary policy and escalated fiscal measures to counter economic challenges and looming U.S. trade tariffs.

  • China's leadership has shifted its monetary policy stance from 'prudent' to 'moderately loose,' marking the first such change in 14 years.
  • The annual Central Economic Work Conference is underway, where officials will finalize policies for 2025, focusing on domestic demand and economic stability.
  • Beijing is preparing to increase fiscal spending, potentially raising its budget deficit to 4% and issuing more government bonds to stimulate growth.
  • Economic measures aim to address weak consumer demand, a prolonged property crisis, and the anticipated impact of U.S. President-elect Donald Trump's proposed tariffs on Chinese goods.
  • Analysts caution that while the policy shift signals urgency, large-scale stimulus akin to the 2008 financial crisis is unlikely due to China's high debt levels and structural economic challenges.
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