Overview
- China issued the preliminary decision on Monday, August 10, 2026, applying provisional antidumping duties of 17.8%–51.6% to Mexican pecan exporters and a uniform 54.3% rate to U.S. exporters.
- Chinese authorities said their probe found preliminary evidence of dumping, substantial injury to the domestic industry, and a causal link between the two, and they will continue the investigation toward a final determination.
- Mexican exporters who participated in the probe received lower, company‑specific margins while nonparticipating firms were assigned higher default penalties, which explains the range of rates for Mexico and the single rate for the United States.
- Mexico's Secretaría de Economía and SADER have opened a coordinated legal and diplomatic defense and companies have a 10‑day window to submit responses and data to challenge the preliminary measures.
- Official data show modest direct Mexican shipments to China (about $21.9 million in 2024) but a larger share of Mexican pecans reaches China via re‑exports through the United States, so the true trade value exposed could be higher and the measures could raise costs for growers and exporters as the probe proceeds.