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China Sets 2035 Climate Target of 7–10% Below Peak Emissions

Analysts warn the undefined baseline clouds the pledge’s strength relative to a 1.5°C pathway.

Overview

  • Xi Jinping announced at a UN climate leaders’ event on September 24 that China will cut economy-wide greenhouse gas emissions 7–10% below peak levels by 2035.
  • The commitment is slated for China’s 2035 nationally determined contribution, which has not yet been formally submitted in full.
  • For the first time, China says the target covers all greenhouse gases rather than only carbon dioxide.
  • Expert reaction has been largely critical, with analysts saying a 1.5°C-aligned path would require reductions closer to about 30% from a defined baseline.
  • The unclear definition of “peak” leaves the real ambition uncertain and was a central issue in a Carbon Brief webinar convened to assess the pledge ahead of COP30.