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China Posts Record $1.2 Trillion 2025 Trade Surplus as Exports Shift Beyond U.S.

The record surplus reflects expanded electronics and auto sales to non-U.S. markets following tariff pressure from President Trump.

Overview

  • Customs data show 2025 exports reached $3.77 trillion with imports at $2.58 trillion, producing a near-$1.2 trillion surplus.
  • December trade beat forecasts with exports up 6.6% year over year and imports up 5.7% year over year.
  • Shipments to the United States fell about 20% for the year, while exports rose to Africa (+26%), Southeast Asia (+13%), the European Union (+8%), and Latin America (+7%).
  • Electronics and electrical equipment led export gains, and auto exports jumped 21% to more than 7 million vehicles, driven by EVs and plug-in hybrids.
  • Officials and analysts expect exports to support growth in 2026 despite a “severe and complex” external environment, with the IMF urging stronger domestic demand to reduce reliance on foreign sales.