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China Posts Record $1.19 Trillion 2025 Trade Surplus as Exports Shift Beyond U.S.

A pivot to new markets offset a 20% drop in U.S.-bound shipments.

Overview

  • Customs data show full-year exports rose 5.5% to $3.77 trillion and imports were $2.58 trillion, with December shipments up 6.6% and purchases up 5.7%.
  • Sales to ASEAN, Africa, the EU and Latin America increased — roughly 13%, 26%, 8% and 7% — more than compensating for a 20% plunge in exports to the United States.
  • Chinese firms diversified markets and set up overseas hubs as a weaker yuan and demand for autos, chips and other electronics supported export growth.
  • Beijing signaled trade rebalancing, with Premier Li Qiang urging more imports, the scrapping of solar export tax rebates, and fast-tracked revisions to the Foreign Trade Law.
  • Economists see exports remaining a key growth driver in 2026, even as the IMF and others warn that overcapacity concerns and trade frictions threaten sustainability.