Overview

• The ceasefire between Myanmar's military and the ethnic Kokang-led MNDAA came into effect on Saturday, following mediation by China.
• This is the second ceasefire agreement in just over a year; the previous deal collapsed after accusations of violations by both sides.
• China facilitated seven rounds of peace talks in Kunming, driven by concerns over instability along its border with Myanmar.
• The MNDAA is part of the Three Brotherhood Alliance, which launched a major offensive in late 2023, impacting the military's control in the region.
• Experts suggest China's involvement reflects its strategic interest in preventing state fragmentation and addressing border instability, though broader national peace remains elusive.