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China-Made Panels Fuel 15 GW Surge in Africa’s Solar Imports Over the Past Year

The surge is spreading across dozens of markets beyond South Africa, with its benefits hinging on how quickly imports become installed, financed projects.

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Overview

  • Africa imported 15,032 MW of solar panels in the 12 months through June 2025, a 60% year-on-year increase, according to Ember’s analysis of Chinese export data.
  • Twenty countries set new import records and 25 imported at least 100 MW, while imports to countries excluding South Africa more than tripled over two years.
  • South Africa remained the largest buyer with about a quarter of the total, followed by Nigeria at 1,721 MW and Algeria at 1,199 MW, with Algeria’s purchases up 33-fold.
  • If fully installed, recent imports could cover about 61% of Sierra Leone’s 2023 electricity generation and 49% for Chad, with 16 countries reaching at least 5%.
  • Experts say nearly all panels come from China and warn that unclear installation tracking persists even as economics strengthen, including diesel-replacement paybacks of roughly six months in Nigeria.