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China Launches 90 Billion Yuan Childcare Subsidy to Stem Population Decline

Experts warn the modest payout of 3,600 yuan per child under three is unlikely to counter soaring living costs, casting doubt on its ability to reverse the demographic slide.

Overview

  • The central government is disbursing 3,600 yuan annually for each child under three with funding retroactive to January and aimed at helping 20 million families this year.
  • This initiative represents Beijing’s first unified national childcare payment following local pilot programs that began in mid-2023.
  • Birth rates have fallen for three consecutive years, with 9 million births and 11.1 million deaths recorded in 2023 according to the Peterson Institute for International Economics.
  • Surveys and social media posts reveal young adults deterred by high housing prices, long work hours and memories of punitive one-child policy fines.
  • Demographers point to the limited success of similar subsidies in Japan and South Korea and say broader economic and social reforms will be needed to reverse the downward trend.