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China Inflation Mixed as CPI Falls 0.3% and PPI Drops 2.3% in September

A downside CPI surprise reflects soft household spending alongside a near three‑year PPI slump.

Overview

  • Official data show September CPI fell 0.3% year over year, a larger decline than the 0.2% drop economists expected.
  • Producer prices decreased 2.3% from a year earlier, extending a prolonged deflation that has pressured manufacturers’ profitability.
  • Core CPI rose 1.0% from a year earlier, the strongest pace since February 2024, according to Wind Information.
  • Weak household spending and a prolonged housing downturn continue to weigh on domestic demand, according to the reporting.
  • U.S. trade measures and tariffs are disrupting production and squeezing exports, adding further strain on factories.