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Overview
- Beijing will apply a 55% additional tariff on beef volumes that exceed country quotas from January 1, 2026 through December 31, 2028.
- Brazil receives a quota of 1.106 million tons in 2026, rising to 1.128 million in 2027 and 1.154 million in 2028, with in‑quota imports subject to the existing 12% tariff cited by industry groups.
- China set a global beef import quota of about 2.69 million tons for 2026, increasing slightly each year to 2.8 million tons by 2028, with allocations largely aligned to suppliers’ market shares.
- Operational rules bar carrying unused quota into the next year and suspend special beef safeguards under the China–Australia FTA, while very small suppliers are exempt under de minimis thresholds.
- Brazilian officials say they will engage bilaterally and at the WTO as industry groups warn of supply‑chain adjustments, with Abrafrigo estimating up to US$3 billion in lost revenue in 2026.