Overview
- The measures take effect January 1, 2026 and run for three years, with quotas increasing slightly each year through 2028.
- For 2026, quotas include about 1.1 million tonnes for Brazil, roughly half that for Argentina, around 200,000 tonnes for Australia, and 164,000 tonnes for the United States, with the 55% levy applied to shipments above those limits.
- China set total beef import quotas at 2.69 million tonnes for 2026, rising to 2.74 million in 2027 and 2.80 million in 2028, and it suspended part of a beef provision under its free trade agreement with Australia.
- Australian industry groups called the move extremely disappointing and warned of a severe hit to exports, while Brazilian producers flagged potential losses of up to US$3 billion in 2026 and officials plan talks on quota accounting and transfers.
- U.S. exporters expect limited immediate impact because the 2026 quota exceeds current volumes after China let some U.S. plant registrations lapse earlier this year, and analysts see possible front-loaded shipments and shifts in global beef flows.