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China Holds Loan Prime Rates for Eighth Month as PBOC Leans on Targeted Tools

Authorities signal patience on broad easing, prioritizing sector-specific measures for now.

Overview

  • The one-year LPR stayed at 3.00% and the five-year at 3.50%, marking an eighth consecutive month without change.
  • The central bank set the USD/CNY daily midpoint at 7.0051, the strongest fixing since May 2023, and injected 158.3 billion yuan via seven-day reverse repos at 1.4%.
  • A Reuters poll showed all 22 surveyed participants expected no change to the LPRs this month.
  • Deputy Governor Zou Lan indicated room to cut reserve requirements and policy rates in 2026, with several banks projecting potential moves in the first half if conditions warrant.
  • Ultra-low deposit rates are steering household funds toward equities, insurance and gold, with market estimates pointing to roughly US$7 trillion in reallocation and regulators tightening oversight of leverage and trading.