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China CPI Hits 21-Month High as PPI Deflation Deepens

Policymakers face pressure to bolster demand given persistent producer-price declines.

Overview

  • Official data show November consumer prices rose 0.7% year on year, with a 0.1% monthly drop after October’s 0.2% gain.
  • Core inflation held at 1.2% year on year, and food prices turned positive at 0.2% after a 2.9% decline in October.
  • Producer prices fell 2.2% from a year earlier, a deeper drop than forecast and part of a deflation streak now in its fourth year.
  • Economists cite the protracted property downturn and a weak labor market as reasons deflationary pressure may persist, urging stronger demand support.
  • With an easing bias but caution on broad stimulus, leaders set 2026 priorities to expand domestic demand as markets watch the Central Economic Work Conference for policy signals; exports remain resilient, lifting the trade surplus above $1 trillion and keeping growth near the ~5% target.