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4mo ago

China Achieves First CO2 Emissions Decline During Rising Power Demand

In Q1 2025, China's emissions fell 1.6% year-on-year as clean energy growth outpaced electricity demand, but challenges to long-term goals remain.

Image
Workers install solar photovoltaic panels in Yinchuan, China. Credit: Cynthia Lee / Alamy Stock Photo
A large solar installation, with panels encroaching on a body of water in the center from both banks. Many panels are installed on stanchions in the water.
Renewable and nuclear energy are helping China lower emissions despite rising power demand

Overview

  • China's CO2 emissions decreased by 1.6% in the first quarter of 2025 compared to the previous year, marking the first sustained decline during rising power demand.
  • Wind and solar energy capacity surpassed coal-based thermal capacity for the first time, driven by record investments in renewables and nuclear power.
  • Clean energy growth has overtaken electricity demand growth, reducing reliance on fossil fuels and pushing power sector emissions down by 5.8% in Q1 2025.
  • Despite progress, China remains off track to meet its 2030 carbon intensity reduction target under the Paris Agreement, with potential rebound risks from droughts, trade wars, and industrial stimulus policies.
  • China aims to peak emissions by 2030 and achieve carbon neutrality by 2060, with upcoming five-year plan targets and international climate commitments critical to sustaining momentum.