Chile Votes Sunday as Jara Leads First-Round Polls but Trails in Runoffs

Overview

• An October AtlasIntel survey places Jeannette Jara at 32.7% in first-round intentions, ahead of José Antonio Kast at 20.1%, Evelyn Matthei at 13.8%, Johannes Kaiser at 13.4% and Franco Parisi at 13.2%.
• In head-to-head scenarios from the same poll, Jara would lose to all major rivals, including a 47% to 39% deficit against Kast.
• Chileans vote on Sunday, 16 November, to choose a president and renew the entire Chamber of Deputies and 23 of 50 Senate seats.
• Chile’s election law bars publication of new voting-intention polls in the 15 days before balloting, and the cited AtlasIntel fieldwork ran 10–14 October.
• The polling context reflects conservative momentum and disillusionment with the left after two failed constitutional rewrite attempts under President Gabriel Boric.