Overview
- Kickoff is Sunday at 4:25 p.m. ET at Highmark Stadium, a regular-season meeting following Kansas City’s 32-29 win over Buffalo in last season’s AFC Championship.
- Sportsbooks list Kansas City around -1.5 with a total near 52.5, and Dimers’ 10,000-simulation model projects a 26-24 Chiefs win with a 57% victory probability and a lean to the under.
- Buffalo held out WR Joshua Palmer (ankle) and DT DaQuan Jones (calf) from Wednesday’s practice, while LBs Terrel Bernard (ankle) and Matt Milano (pectoral) returned as full participants, with Sean McDermott saying evaluations are ongoing.
- Chiefs RB Isiah Pacheco (knee) did not practice midweek and his status is uncertain, positioning Kareem Hunt for added work in a backfield that has recently shifted roles.
- Kansas City’s attack has surged to an NFL-best 415.8 yards per game since Week 4, while Bills RB James Cook is coming off 216 rushing yards and ranks second in the league with 753, highlighting a key test for the Chiefs’ run defense.