Overview

• Kickoff is 8:20 p.m. ET at MetLife Stadium on NBC, with streaming via Peacock, Fubo and DirecTV.
• Oddsmakers list Kansas City around -5.5 to -6 with a heavy moneyline edge; simulations peg the Chiefs near a 67% win chance and identify value on New York to cover.
• Kansas City’s receiving corps is thinned with Rashee Rice suspended and Xavier Worthy out, elevating roles for Hollywood Brown and Tyquan Thornton and keeping Travis Kelce central in the red zone.
• Patrick Mahomes has leaned on his legs early with over 120 rushing yards and two touchdowns through two games, a trend reflected in DFS and prop markets.
• New York leans on Russell Wilson and rookie Malik Nabers, who leads the league in targets and carries the Giants’ top anytime-TD probability in several models.