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Chiefs at Jaguars on MNF: KC Favored as Models Lean Under

Projections favor Kansas City in a lower-scoring game despite Jacksonville’s league-best takeaway rate.

Overview

  • Kickoff is 8:15 p.m. ET at EverBank Stadium with a national simulcast on ABC and ESPN, streaming via the ESPN app and Fubo; Joe Buck and Troy Aikman are on the call.
  • Kansas City is around a 3.5-point road favorite with a total near 45.5 and moneyline pricing close to Chiefs -200, Jaguars in the mid +160s to +170s.
  • Multiple predictive models, including SportsLine, tilt toward the Under and give Kansas City the edge to win or cover in a majority of simulations.
  • Chiefs receiver Xavier Worthy was added to the Week 5 injury report with an ankle issue but is expected to play, while Jaguars edge rusher Travon Walker is questionable after wrist surgery and practiced with protection.
  • Jacksonville enters 3-1 with an NFL-leading 13 takeaways and a +9 turnover differential, Kansas City is 2-2 with few turnovers, and the Chiefs have won the past eight meetings in the series.