Overview

• The Sunday night game at MetLife is framed as must-win, with historical data showing roughly 2–3% of 0–3 teams reach the playoffs since 1990.
• Kansas City’s ground game has stalled at 94 yards on 28 carries for Isiah Pacheco and Kareem Hunt, Mahomes is completing 58.8% of passes, and he leads the team with 123 rushing yards.
• ESPN’s Bill Barnwell notes the defense ranks 23rd in EPA per play and 26th in QBR allowed, with Steve Spagnuolo blitzing at a top-three rate but generating pressure only at the 23rd-best rate.
• Roster context looms with Rashee Rice two games into a six-game suspension, rookie Xavier Worthy still working back from a shoulder injury, and Pacheco yet to regain pre-injury form.
• Despite the 0–2 hole, ESPN’s model puts playoff chances near 51.8%, and DraftKings lists the Chiefs as 6-point favorites over the Giants and -185 to make the postseason, with Baltimore and Detroit looming next.