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Chenab Flooding Triggers Evacuations as Cross-Border Data Flows Halt

The suspension of the Indus Waters Treaty has left Pakistan without formal upstream hydrological data and increased uncertainty for flood warnings.

Overview

  • Officials recorded high to medium flood discharges at key Chenab barrages with Marala reporting flows near reported peaks and district administrations evacuating more than 4,300 people.
  • Pakistan’s Indus Water Commissioner told a Senate committee there is no official information that India released water through Chenab spillways and that authorities are using alternative monitoring after treaty data stopped.
  • India’s Ministry of External Affairs called allegations of deliberate releases baseless and said higher flows reflect heavy monsoon rainfall while pledging to share high‑flood data on humanitarian grounds.
  • Federal and provincial flood agencies reported some easing from peak levels at certain points but warned a new westerly–monsoon weather system could bring more heavy rain and change river inflows rapidly.
  • Senate and flood authorities urged a centralized early‑warning dashboard, expanded radar and modelling tools, and noted that existing reservoirs can reduce only about 20 percent of peak flood flows, leaving communities and infrastructure vulnerable.