Overview
- Kickoff is 8:20 p.m. ET at SoFi Stadium on NBC, with Pittsburgh entering 5-3 atop the AFC North and Los Angeles at 6-3 in the AFC West.
- Sportsbooks list the Chargers as short favorites (about -2.5 to -3) with totals around 44.5–45.5, and Dimers’ simulations give L.A. roughly a 61% win probability.
- Forecasts differ on scoring: SportsLine’s model has leaned to the Over in one analysis, expert R.J. White leans Under, and Dimers projects a 23–20 Chargers result.
- Injuries shape the matchup, with Chargers rookie tackle Joe Alt on injured reserve and the Steelers ruling out Scotty Miller, Isaac Seumalo, Cole Holcomb and Jabrill Peppers.
- The quarterback duel features Aaron Rodgers and Justin Herbert, with matchup notes highlighting Pittsburgh’s +9 turnover differential versus L.A.’s -4 and the Chargers’ strong passing profile against a struggling Steelers pass defense.