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Chargers Favored Over Vikings on TNF as Herbert, Wentz Set for Pass-Heavy Showcase

Model projections tilt toward Los Angeles, fueling QB-focused betting angles.

Overview

  • Kickoff is Thursday at 8:15 p.m. ET at SoFi Stadium, with sportsbooks listing Los Angeles as a 3 to 3.5-point favorite and the total near 44.5.
  • Carson Wentz starts for Minnesota with J.J. McCarthy sidelined by an ankle injury, while Justin Herbert leads the NFL in passing yards through seven weeks.
  • Dimers’ 10,000-simulation model gives the Chargers a 63% win probability and forecasts a 24-20 final.
  • SportsLine’s machine-learning model projects Wentz to exceed 222.5 passing yards, estimating 250.7 yards.
  • DraftKings is promoting a “Herbert Effect” same-game parlay at +650 requiring 280+ yards, 26+ completions and 3+ passing touchdowns from Herbert.