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Channel Tunnel Train Fares Could Drop by 30% Amid Competition Surge

New report forecasts tripling of passenger numbers by 2040 as competitors challenge Eurostar's monopoly and infrastructure upgrades advance.

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Three rival train operators are vying to launch HS1 services to Europe in 2029 in competition with Eurostar

Overview

  • A report by consultancy Steer predicts international train fares through the Channel Tunnel may decrease by up to 30% if passenger demand grows significantly.
  • Passenger numbers for high-speed rail between London and Europe are expected to triple from 11 million to 35 million annually by 2040.
  • London St Pancras High Speed plans to double station capacity to handle nearly 5,000 international passengers per hour, anticipating demand growth.
  • New operators, including Virgin Group, FS Italiane Group, and Gemini, are preparing to compete with Eurostar, ending its decades-long monopoly.
  • The shift toward rail travel is driven by climate concerns and the convenience of direct city-to-city connections, supported by regulatory changes and infrastructure investments.