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Championship Weekend Puts 12-Team CFP Field in Flux, With Unusual Path for Two Group-of-Six Teams

Automatic-bid rules plus this week’s rankings create openings that could displace Notre Dame, potentially allowing a second Group-of-Six team.

Overview

  • The American champion — No. 20 Tulane or No. 24 North Texas — is effectively locked into the playoff, per the latest rankings and CFP auto-bid structure.
  • Analysts outline a scenario in which a Duke ACC upset leaves the committee reluctant to take a five-loss champion and turns attention to newly ranked No. 25 James Madison after a 59-10 win and an 11-1 finish.
  • Notre Dame sits on the bubble, with one CBS analysis arguing the Irish could be pushed out if BYU beats No. 5 Texas Tech and claims an automatic berth.
  • A separate CBS betting piece projects Notre Dame in the field and recommends a wager on the Irish to reach the quarterfinals.
  • The CFP’s year-two tweaks — straight seeding and allowing multiple top-four seeds from the same conference — heighten the impact of championship outcomes on byes and matchups.