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3w ago

CEPAL Boosts 2025 Growth Forecast for Latin America to 2.2%

Argentina’s 5% surge stands out against Mexico’s 0.3% forecast under a report that cautions the region remains trapped in a low-growth cycle

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Cepal consideró que el panorama global y regional para 2025 y 2026 “está sujeto a una elevada incertidumbre.

Overview

  • CEPAL raised its 2025 GDP growth forecast for Latin America and the Caribbean to 2.2%, up from 2.0% in April, and projects a 2.3% expansion in 2026.
  • Argentina is projected to lead the region with 5.0% growth in 2025 before easing to 4.0% in 2026.
  • Mexico is forecast to grow just 0.3% in 2025 and 1.0% in 2026, placing it among the region’s weakest performers alongside Cuba and Haiti.
  • Employment growth is expected to remain subdued with a stable 5.6% unemployment rate accompanied by high informality and persistent gender gaps.
  • CEPAL warns that restrictive global financial conditions and rising trade protectionism threaten external stability and urges mobilizing domestic and external resources to escape a prolonged low‐growth cycle.