Overview

• Centrão figures are urging Jair Bolsonaro to formally endorse Tarcísio de Freitas now and to rein in Eduardo Bolsonaro's radical wing, citing 2018’s delayed PT switch to Fernando Haddad as a cautionary tale.
• PP president Ciro Nogueira said that, if the choice were made today, Tarcísio would be the opposition candidate and indicated he expects Bolsonaro to decide by December.
• After visiting Bolsonaro, Tarcísio reiterated plans to seek re‑election as São Paulo governor, though a presidential bid would legally require him to leave office by April 2026.
• PT’s state deals face turbulence in the Northeast as the União Brasil–PP federation pressures allies to exit the government, with reporting noting that a Tarcísio candidacy could pull PSD and Republicanos off PT slates in key states.
• São Paulo mayor Ricardo Nunes said most of the MDB favors moving into opposition to Lula in 2026 and signaled Tarcísio as the name with greatest sympathy inside the party.