Centrão Doubts Flávio Bolsonaro’s 2026 Bid, Sets ‘Dosimetria or Nothing’ Ultimatum After Chamber Vote

Overview

• In a tense meeting, leaders of PP and União Brasil told Flávio Bolsonaro they do not view his presidential run as viable and reaffirmed preference for São Paulo governor Tarcísio de Freitas.
• Centrão chiefs said they would reject a broad amnesty for January 8 convictions and would support only a change in sentencing calculations, calling it “dosimetria or nothing.”
• The Chamber of Deputies approved the dosimetria bill the day after the meeting, setting up a vote in the Senate.
• Flávio maintains his pre-candidacy is irreversible and says it originated from correspondence he delivered to Jair Bolsonaro during visits to Federal Police detention.
• Michelle Bolsonaro apologized for a public rift and told PL allies that Flávio is the chosen candidate, while broader party negotiations remain unresolved.