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CEF Projection Points to December Fuel Hike, With Diesel Set for Bigger Jump

The DMRE will set the final adjustment by late November based on oil prices plus rand moves.

Overview

  • New CEF data indicate December increases of roughly 19–25c per litre for petrol and 69–88c per litre for diesel.
  • Diesel users face the steeper rise, while illuminating paraffin is also projected to climb by about 75–79c per litre.
  • Analysts cite higher international product prices, a weaker rand against the dollar, and supply constraints tied to sanctions on Russian oil.
  • CEF daily reports show widening under-recoveries across all fuel grades, pointing to sustained cost pressure in the pricing system.
  • The DMRE will issue the binding decision by the end of November, with any changes expected to take effect around midnight on Tuesday, 2 December; current inland prices are R20.97/l for 93, R21.12/l for 95, and about R19.13–R19.20/l for diesel.