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Ceasefire Between Israel and Iran Opens Door to U.S. Pivot Toward China

Defense officials argue that shifting forces to the Indo-Pacific offers a better return after securing Middle East stability.

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Overview

  • A fragile ceasefire brokered by President Trump has largely held since ending the 12-day conflict between Israel and Iran.
  • U.S. defense and policy analysts are calling for a reallocation of military resources to counter China’s expanding naval and industrial capabilities.
  • U.S. Special Envoy Steve Witkoff has signaled plans to broaden the Abraham Accords to more Arab states to cement regional stability.
  • Beijing is closely weighing its response to Iranian appeals for weaponry, balancing economic ties with Tehran against relations with Israel and Western partners.
  • The Pentagon’s fiscal 2026 budget request includes over $10 billion for the Pacific Deterrence Initiative to strengthen U.S. posture in the Indo-Pacific.