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CDU/CSU Edge Past AfD in Latest INSA Snapshot

The one-point edge underscores volatile sentiment shaped by weak approval plus a splintered party field.

Overview

  • INSA’s Sonntagsfrage puts the Union at 26% and the AfD at 25%, a narrow lead after several weeks when the AfD often polled ahead.
  • The survey interviewed 1,202 respondents by phone and online from 25 to 29 August 2025.
  • Party standings: SPD 15%, Greens 11%, Left 11%, BSW 4%, FDP 3%, Others 5%.
  • Compared with February’s election, the Union sits about 2.5 points lower, while the AfD has gained just over four points.
  • With roughly 12% polling below the 5% hurdle, a Bundestag majority could form with about 45% of votes, yet a CDU/CSU–SPD pairing would currently reach only 41%; separate polling shows 62% dissatisfied with the government and 57% with Chancellor Merz.