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CDU Holds Lead in North Rhine-Westphalia as AfD Advances in First Test for Merz

The first vote since Friedrich Merz took office signals CDU stability alongside a warning about AfD’s reach in western Germany.

Overview

  • Projections from public broadcaster WDR show the CDU at about 33% statewide, maintaining its standing from the last municipal cycle.
  • AfD climbs to roughly 14.5%—about triple its previous local result in the state—marking a notable gain outside its eastern strongholds.
  • The SPD slips to about 22% and the Greens fall to around 13%, extending center-left losses compared with 2020.
  • Turnout rose to roughly 57%, clearly higher than in 2020, underscoring the national significance attached to the local vote.
  • AfD fielded candidates in only about 60% of municipalities, yet still forced high-profile runoffs such as in Gelsenkirchen, where the mayoral race moves to a September 28 second round.