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CBO Forecasts $3.3 Trillion Deficit Rise From Trump’s Bill as Senate Prepares Rescissions Vote

The Congressional Budget Office’s decade-long outlook reveals a surge in debt and coverage losses by 2034 as Republicans ready a vote to claw back $9.4 billion in public media and foreign aid funding

Overview

  • The law’s permanent tax cuts and bump in defense and immigration spending are active, while deep Medicaid and SNAP reductions are postponed until 2027
  • The CBO estimates a $4.5 trillion drop in revenues and $1.2 trillion in added spending will drive deficits up by $3.3 trillion over the next decade
  • Analysts project 11.8 million more uninsured Americans and 3 million fewer SNAP beneficiaries by 2034 under the new legislation
  • Senate Republicans plan this week’s vote under DOGE rules to rescind $9.4 billion from public broadcasting and USAID programs
  • Both parties are already framing the 2026 House campaigns around tax relief versus safety-net cuts, with Democrats eyeing a net gain of three seats to flip the chamber