Overview
- Rachel Reeves has signalled tax rises are likely in the 26 November Budget and declined to recommit to Labour’s promise not to raise income tax, national insurance or VAT.
- The CBI says business taxes are at a 25-year high and warns against further corporate hikes, urging the Chancellor to create real fiscal headroom even if that means raising personal taxes.
- The Tony Blair Institute argues any major revenue move should be temporary and paired with pro‑growth measures such as scrapping stamp duty on shares, easing visa routes, and adjusting planned employment rights.
- NIESR advises building about £30bn of fiscal headroom to meet fiscal rules, reinforcing pressure for near‑term revenue or spending decisions.
- Entrepreneur surveys report heightened fears of higher taxes and potential founder relocation, while some Labour MPs publicly caution that breaking the pledge could damage trust.