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Cattle Extend New‑Year Rally as Grains Steady and Soybeans Firm on China Buying

Fresh USDA data plus fund positioning shifts set a volatile tone as traders process post‑holiday reports.

Overview

  • Live and feeder cattle futures added to Monday’s gains, supported by cash trade at $232–233, firmer boxed beef values, and stronger feeder prices at the OKC auction, with last week’s federally inspected slaughter at 474,000 head.
  • Soybeans held modest Tuesday gains after Reuters cited 10 U.S. cargoes sold to China and USDA confirmed a 336,000 MT sale, even as total commitments of 27.7 MMT trail last year’s pace.
  • Corn edged higher with export inspections at 1.207 MMT in the week ending Jan. 1 and total commitments at 50.5 MMT, while CFTC data showed managed money flipped to a 23,584‑contract net short as of Dec. 30.
  • Wheat ticked up after Monday’s rebound despite soft inspections of 183,305 MT for the latest week and a large managed‑money net short in Chicago futures, with traders watching a wetter seven‑day outlook for SRW areas.
  • Post‑holiday catch‑up reports showed USDA export sales and inspections back on track and CFTC data indicating soy longs were pared, reinforcing cross‑market divergence and near‑term volatility.