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Cattle Ease After Rally as Hogs Advance; Grains Close Mixed on Strong Trade Signals

Traders are recalibrating to confirmed supply tightness, with USDA data keeping bids firm despite day-to-day volatility.

Overview

  • Live cattle slipped 35 to 60 cents on Tuesday after Monday’s $1-plus gains, while feeders were mostly 50 to 60 cents lower as cash trade waits to develop following last week’s $233–$236.50 live and $370 dressed sales.
  • USDA’s latest cattle-on-feed count sits near 11.5 million head, about 3% below a year earlier, and December beef stocks were the lowest for that month since 2009, reinforcing tighter beef supply.
  • Lean hog futures added 10 to 75 cents Tuesday, supported by an elevated CME Lean Hog Index and historically tight December pork inventories, though the afternoon cutout eased to $95.69 per cwt.
  • Corn eased 1 to 2 cents while soybeans rebounded 5 to 6 cents and wheat finished slightly higher, with recent USDA reports showing outsized mid-January export bookings and a fresh 110,000 MT U.S. corn sale to unknown destinations.
  • New World Screwworm detections in Mexico, including a USDA-confirmed case roughly 197 miles from Texas, remain a noted downside risk for cattle despite supportive fundamentals.