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Caterpillar Lifts 2025 Tariff Hit to Up to $1.8 Billion, Guides Margin to Low End

Investor scrutiny intensifies over pricing power, margins, and demand durability.

Overview

  • Caterpillar now projects tariff costs of $500 million to $600 million in the third quarter and about $1.5 billion to $1.8 billion for 2025, according to a regulatory filing.
  • The company lowered its full-year adjusted operating margin outlook to the bottom of its target range.
  • Management kept its 2025 sales and revenue outlook unchanged despite the higher tariff estimate.
  • Shares fell about 3% on Friday following the updated tariff and margin guidance.
  • Analysts remain divided on pass-through prospects as U.S. tariffs and high interest rates raise costs and pressure industrial demand.