Particle.news

Download on the App Store

Catalonia Poised for Population Growth as Aging Accelerates and Local Divides Widen

Positive net migration is projected to sustain overall gains, intensifying contrasts between expanding urban centers and shrinking rural communities.

Image

Overview

  • Catalonia’s population is projected to rise from 8.0 million in 2024 to 8.554 million by 2034, a 6.8% increase fueled by net immigration.
  • Natural change is expected to be negative in most municipalities as deaths outpace births, reflecting the region’s low fertility.
  • The number of residents aged 65 or older will grow by 24.4%, with those aged 80 and above increasing by 29.6%, reshaping social and economic demands.
  • Idescat forecasts 791 of Catalonia’s 947 municipalities will gain population by 2034, nine will remain stable, and 147 will lose residents.
  • Growth leaders include Vilablareix (+35.2%) and Sant Feliu de Pallerols (+33.2%), and the steepest declines hit La Febró (–16.7%), La Torre de Fontaubella (–14.3%) and Badia del Vallès (–3.1% among towns over 5,000 residents).