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Carville Forecasts Big Democratic Gains in 2026 as RNC Chair Rejects 'Wipeout' Claim

The veteran strategist counters David Plouffe’s warning with a projection of at least 25 House pickups plus a likely Senate shift.

Overview

  • James Carville told Fox News Democrats are poised to gain a minimum of 25 House seats, possibly up to 45, with the Senate likely flipping to Democratic control.
  • Fox host Kayleigh McEnany called the forecast a bold prediction and argued that easing inflation and stronger GDP could improve Republicans’ prospects.
  • RNC Chairman Joe Gruters dismissed the outlook and said Republicans can defy historical midterm losses and retain control of both chambers, citing President Trump’s standing.
  • Carville said Trump’s recent quip about not needing an election will prompt questions for GOP candidates to affirm support for holding the 2026 vote, which the White House labeled a joke.
  • His remarks responded to David Plouffe’s essay asserting Democrats lack a sustainable path to power, as Carville again urged his party to avoid messaging he views as counterproductive.