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Carville Forecasts Big 2026 Democratic Gains on Fox News, Says Senate Likely to Flip

Republicans cite improving economic indicators as they reject his outlook.

Overview

  • James Carville said Democrats will gain at least 25 House seats, possibly up to 45, and are likely to retake the Senate in the 2026 midterms.
  • He delivered the prediction in an interview with Fox News host Kayleigh McEnany, who questioned it by pointing to falling inflation and stronger GDP.
  • Carville criticized President Trump’s recent remark about not needing an election and said GOP candidates should be asked to commit to holding the November 2026 vote.
  • White House press secretary Karoline Leavitt defended Trump’s comment as a joke, a position echoed by McEnany during the segment.
  • RNC Chairman Joe Gruters dismissed Carville’s forecast and argued Republicans can keep both chambers, as Carville’s comments followed a David Plouffe op-ed warning of Democrats’ longer-term structural hurdles.