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15h ago

Carolinas Low-Pressure System Gains 30% Chance to Become Tropical Storm

Forecast models suggest the disturbance could attain tropical cyclone status by early next week given current atmospheric conditions.

This NHC map highlights the disturbances being monitored in the Atlantic.

Overview

  • The National Hurricane Center raised the seven-day development probability for the low-pressure area off the Carolinas to 30% in its latest advisory, up from 20% earlier Saturday.
  • The system is moving east-northeast at about 10 mph with slow organization expected through early next week.
  • If classified as a tropical storm, it will be named Dexter as the fourth storm of the 2025 Atlantic season.
  • NOAA's June outlook projects 13–19 named storms including 6–10 hurricanes and 3–5 major hurricanes, while CSU researchers issued a July revision trimming overall activity.
  • Forecasters caution that environmental conditions will likely become less favorable for development after early next week as wind shear increases and sea surface temperatures cool.