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Carlos Bolsonaro Confirms Santa Catarina Senate Bid, Backs Carol De Toni

The announcement lays bare a power struggle in Santa Catarina’s right, with TV-time calculus driving talk of party switches that could reshape the 2026 slate.

Overview

  • Carlos Bolsonaro said on X that he will run for the Senate in Santa Catarina and named himself and Caroline de Toni as Jair Bolsonaro’s preferred pre-candidates.
  • De Toni is negotiating a move to Novo to preserve her Senate run after being sidelined in PL’s internal arrangements, with Novo’s president confirming the invitation and Gilson Marques prepared to step aside.
  • Eduardo Bolsonaro publicly defended Carlos’s bid and criticized efforts to pit De Toni against his brother, framing the intraparty fight as harmful to the right.
  • Governor Jorginho Mello favors Esperidião Amin’s re-election to secure PP-linked TV time, a stance that clashes with the Bolsonaro family’s plan and exposes a rift in the state coalition.
  • Carlos plans to leave his Rio council seat and relocate to Santa Catarina in December; a September Real Time Big Data poll showed him leading the Senate race, with the state a strong Bolsonaro stronghold in 2022.