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Cardano Tests Five-Year Floor at Multi‑Year Low

Concentrated accumulation by large holders plus a 75M‑ADA treasury proposal create narrative support that could shape whether the long‑term floor holds or breaks.

Overview

  • Trading around $0.23–$0.24, ADA reached its lowest levels since 2020 on May 28 as it pressed the long‑standing $0.22–$0.25 support band.
  • Short‑term technicals point downward with ADA below the 50‑, 100‑ and 200‑day EMAs, an RSI near 39, a negative MACD, and falling futures open interest that shows traders leaning short.
  • On‑chain data show wallets holding one million or more ADA now control about 25.11 billion coins, roughly 67.49% of supply, signalling concentrated accumulation rather than broad retail selling.
  • Strike Finance has proposed a 75 million ADA treasury withdrawal, a public governance move that could deploy capital into the ecosystem and influence sentiment if approved.
  • Analysts map two clear paths: a defended triple‑bottom could see short targets near $0.2545 and a confirmation break above $0.40 that opens higher moves toward roughly $0.55, while a monthly close below the long‑term floor would remove five years of macro support and expose much lower pre‑2020 price territory.